torsdag 16 maj 2024

Brazil's extreme weather

Experts: At least a month of flooding remains

The Brazilian state of Rio Grande do Sul suffered a historically serious flood a week ago as a result of heavy downpours. So far, the disaster has cost 149 people their lives and 108 people are still missing, writes Reuters.

The water level is currently three meters above normal. Experts warn that it currently looks like it will take a month before the water runs off.

- But it could take even longer if more rain comes, says hydrologist Fernando Fan.

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Brazilian rowers abandon Olympic dream after torrential rain

Brazilian rowers Evaldo Mathias Becker and Piedro Tuchtenhagen dreamed of competing in the Olympics. But after torrential downpours caused major flooding in their home state of Rio Grande do Sul, they chose not to go to the qualifying competition to instead help at home, writes the BBC.

- The water has not only destroyed people's homes, but also our dreams, says Becker.

He and Tuchtenhagen compete in the lightweight category, which as it stands now is not in the 2028 Olympics, meaning the Paris Olympics was their last chance to fulfill the dream.
 

Climate & environment

Floden Guaiba har svämmat över sina bräddar vid Porto Alegre i södra Brasilien. Nu kan landet få sina största fall av klimatmigration.
The Guaiba River has overflowed its banks at Porto Alegre in southern Brazil. Now the country may have its biggest cases of climate migration. Photo: Andre Penner/AP

More than half a million are fleeing the devastating floods in southern Brazil.

Now several of them are forced to consider abandoning their homes for good - and instead build a new life - on higher ground.

More than half a million are fleeing the devastating floods in southern Brazil.

Now several of them are forced to consider abandoning their homes for good - and instead build a new life on higher ground.

The rain has been going on for just over two weeks and has caused the Guaiba River, which flows past Porto Alegre, to flood. Now the water rises further and sets a new record, writes Reuters.

Scientists estimate that close to 3,800 square kilometers have been flooded.

Hundreds of thousands of families are fleeing the floods and at least 147 are dead and 127 are missing.

The disaster could trigger one of Brazil's biggest cases of climate migration in modern history.

Cross gusts

In the southern parts of the country, there have been more and more periods of both intense drought and heavy rain in recent years. According to researchers, it is due to climate change.

In the state of Rio Grande do Sul, the streets of dozens of cities have turned into rivers. The record-breaking devastation comes after flooding in the second half of 2023 – something that has prompted many of the 538,000 internally displaced people to consider extreme adaptations.

One of them is businessman Cassiano Baldasso, who for the third time in seven months drove wheelbarrows of mud away from his home in the town of Muçum, 15 miles north of Porto Alegre. But the water continues to rise. Now he says he's had enough.

- I have no idea where I'm going, but it will be somewhere far from the river, where our lives will not be in danger, he tells Reuters as he drives away yet another cart of mud from inside his house.

Move half the city

According to Mayor Mateus Trojan, many of Muçum's 5,000 residents will be forced to move. Now they plan to rebuild 40 percent of the city in another, safer place.

One of those who has returned to her home is Maria Ines Silverio, but she keeps her possessions in plastic bags – in case the river rises again. Her mortgage runs for 30 years and she can't afford to move.

- When we bought the house, this was not a flood area. Now it is and the river will rise more and more, she told the news agency.

Ecologist: Wake up!

According to environmental experts, the only option for some cities in the state may be to relocate entire neighborhoods.

- We have to move the urban infrastructure away from high-risk environments and give way to the rivers so that they no longer affect the cities with such magnitude. We cannot go against nature. We have to wake up, because this force says we have to adapt and respect nature, ecologist Marcelo Dutra, a professor at the Federal University of Rio Grande, told Reuters.

Russia is advancing on several fronts in Ukraine

Brandmän bekämpar brand i Charkiv-regionen tidigare i maj.

Russia

Russia is advancing on several fronts in Ukraine

Astrid Larsson

Published 17.58

Russia claims progress on several fronts in northeastern Ukraine.

At the same time, Ukraine has moved units to more "advantageous positions".

The situation in Kharkiv is "extremely difficult", says Zelensky after a visit to the region.

Last week, Russia launched a major ground offensive against the Charkiv region of Ukraine.

Since then, fighting has raged along Ukraine's northeastern border. Hundreds of people have been evacuated and by Thursday Russian forces had taken control of a total of at least 257 square kilometers in Kharkiv, according to an AFP estimate based on data from the US-based think tank ISW.

About ten Russian attacks have been stopped, according to the Ukrainian military's general staff. At the same time, units in Lukjantsi and Vovtyansk districts have moved to more "advantageous positions".

Russia: Controls several societies

On Wednesday, Russia's Ministry of Defense stated that the forces have penetrated "deeply" into Ukraine's defenses and that they now fully control Lukyantsi and the smaller community of Glyboke in the border area.

Russia also claims to have recaptured Robotyne in southern Ukraine, which has not been confirmed by independent sources.

Ukrainian forces are said to have simultaneously retaliated against three Russian attacks in the direction of Robotyne on Wednesday.

Byggnad som förstörts i rysk attack den 14 maj.
Building destroyed in Russian attack on May 14. Photo: Andrii Marienko / AP

Zelensky visits Kharkiv

The country's president Volodymyr Zelenskyy has postponed several planned trips abroad due to the strained situation in the region. On Thursday he visited Kharkiv and described the situation as "extremely difficult".

At the same time, he says that the situation is "under control" and has made the decision to send reinforcements to Kharkiv.

- The situation in the Kharkiv sector remains complicated, but it is developing in a dynamic way, said a spokesperson for Ukraine's military on Thursday morning, according to TT.

Brandmän bekämpar brand i Charkiv-regionen tidigare i maj.
Firefighters fight a fire in the Kharkiv region earlier in May. Photo: Andrii Marienko / AP


Lastest news

The debate about Biden's age
Joe Biden refuses to release recording about his memory

Audio recordings from the investigation into President Joe Biden's memory will not be made public. The White House has decided that, writes American media.

Republicans in the US Congress have demanded the recordings be released, but White House legal experts and the Justice Department have invoked something called executive privilege.

In the investigation into Biden's memory, special prosecutor Robert Hur concludes, among other things, that Biden is a "well-meaning older man with a bad memory."

Transcripts of the recordings are already public and the White House says there is no legitimate reason to release the audio files.

"Your likely goal is to edit the clips, distort them and use them for partisan political purposes," writes White House representative Ed Siskel in a letter to congressional Republican leaders.

The Russian Invasion

The EU election|The assassination attempt on Robert Fico

The Israel-Hamas war

The Russian invasion

The election in the United States|The electoral movement

Kennedy can become the "X-factor" in Trump's and Biden's debate

 

Putin & XI Attend Gala Concert LIVE

 

Vladimir Putin meets Xi Jinping in China


CNN

China’s Xi Jinping rolls out red carpet for close friend Putin in strong show of unity

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Al Jazeera

‘Old friend’ Putin and China’s Xi strengthen strategic ties at summit

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Xi and Putin condemn U.S., pledge closer ties as Russia advances in Ukraine

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The Hill
Putin arrives in China as US slams Beijing for supporting Ukraine war

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Political situation in Cambodia

 

Economy

LIVE! #InHerEyes


#WakeUpThailand ประจำวันที่ 16 พฤษภาคม 2567

 

The Politics 16 พ.ค. 67

The Politics 16 พ.ค. 67 I กลิ่นตุๆ รปห.? รู้นะคิดอะไร ดึงไทยสู่วงจรอุบาทว์

Live! #ตาสว่างกว่า

   

onsdag 15 maj 2024

Humiliated in public – but he still leads

 

Michael Cohen
 
Troublesome testimony against Trump - yet he leads in crucial states

Wolfgang Hansson

This is a commenting text. Analysis and positions are the writer's.

Updated 16.01 | Published 14.13
Donald Trump utanför rätten. 
Donald Trump outside the court. Photo: Curtis Means/AP
I don't know if it matters to the election if Donald Trump is convicted or not.

But after Michael Cohen's testimony, it feels even more clear that it was to hide the connection with the porn star from the voters that Trump paid for her silence.

The question is whether voters care.
 
Quick version
  • Despite Donald Trump being accused of hiding his relationship with a porn actress before the 2016 election, a poll shows him leading in six of the seven swing states ahead of November's presidential election.
  • The star witness in the trial, Michael Cohen, claims that it was Trump who ordered him to pay Stormy Daniels and to hide the payment with fake invoices.
  • Other trials against Trump, over top secret documents and election fraud, are on hold and are unlikely to be concluded before the election.  
Trump has no high morals. Rather, he resembles a mafia boss where he sits on the dock. Therefore, no one expects him to follow normal rules of the game.

Normally, it would have been enough for a presidential candidate to be indicted to automatically be out of the race.

For Trump, other laws of nature apply.
 
After a number of weeks of being flayed in a Manhattan courtroom, having his persona dragged into the dirt and generally being humiliated in public, a new poll from the New York Times/Siena came out the other day showing that Trump is leading in six of the seven swing states that will determine who wins the presidential election in November. In four of them by seven percentage points or more.
 
In other words, voters seem completely unconcerned about whether Trump paid a porn actress to not tell about their sexual escapades before the 2016 presidential election.

Regardless of the verdict, I think most people realize that Trump wanted to bring voters behind the scenes to improve his chances of victory.

Those who are outraged by this would never consider voting for Trump anyway. Those who might consider giving Trump another chance at the White House don't care if they were duped or not.

Michael Cohen was Trump's fixer and legal torpedo for many years. Now he is the prosecution's star witness in the only trial likely to be completed against Trump before the presidential election.
Fixaren Michael Cohen vittnar mot sin tidigare chef. 
Fixer Michael Cohen testifies against his former boss. Photo: Seth Wenig/AP
Trump's defenders tried to question Michael Cohen's credibility. He has admitted that he lied before, "to protect Trump".

But Cohen's story agrees well with what other witnesses have told. Cohen claimed that it was Trump who ordered him to pay Stormy Daniels and hide the payment through fake invoices.

Which is exactly what the prosecutor claims.

Both Cohen's and Stormy Daniel's testimony were troubling to Trump in a number of ways. That could be enough for a conviction. But it is far from impossible that the jury acquits him. It only takes one of the twelve jurors to find Trump innocent for him to go free.

The outcome may play a role in the outcome of the presidential election. About 20 percent of Republican voters say in opinion polls that they cannot imagine voting for a presidential candidate who has been convicted of a crime.

For Trump, it was positive that the trial was not televised. He certainly didn't get the same attention as he would have otherwise, but he didn't have to wash his dirty laundry in public. There is a difference between written summaries in the media of testimony and Trump's reactions than following everything in real time.


         Stormy Daniels. 
        Stormy Daniels. Photo: Markus Schreiber/AP
 
But Trump is an är expert at letting his lawyers object and appeal everything. That a trial can be completed before the presidential election is very doubtful.

Therefore, all eyes remain on the case of Trump, the fixer and the porn star.

But not even a conviction can stop Trump from running for president.

He might even win.

Latest news

Riots in New Caledonia
France deploys military - Tiktok is banned

French military is being deployed at New Caledonia's ports and airports, French Prime Minister Gabriel Attal announced according to Le Monde.

According to Attal, it is the territory's high commissioner, Louis Le Franc, who has asked for military support.

- Le Franc has also announced that a curfew will be introduced and that Tiktok will be banned, says Attal.

Earlier on Wednesday, Paris declared a state of emergency on the Pacific island group, which is controlled by France. The decision came after two days of violent demonstrations after France's National Assembly decided to change voting rules on the island group.

Hundreds of people have been injured and four people, including a police officer, have died during the protests.


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European leaders support Fico: "Shocking"

Heads of government and high-ranking politicians around Europe are expressing their support via social media following the shooting of Slovakian Prime Minister Robert Fico.

The president of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, condemns the "disgusting" attack in the strongest possible terms.

"This type of violence has no place in our society and undermines democracy," she writes, among other things.

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán is shocked by the "heinous" attack on his friend Fico. Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk also expresses his sympathies.

“Shocking news from Slovakia. Robert, my thoughts are with you at this difficult time.” he writes in a post.

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni also condemn the shooting.

*******************

The election in the Netherlands
Wilders: Government ready - but no prime minister

The long Dutch government negotiations are over and a coalition government can be formed. This is announced by right-wing populist Geert Wilders according to AFP.

Wilder's xenophobic Freedom Party won the election last November and negotiations have been ongoing ever since.

A central question remains, however, as there is no clear prime ministerial candidate. The other parties do not allow Wilmers to get the post and incumbent Prime Minister Mark Rutte is expected to become Secretary General of NATO.

- Discussions about the prime minister will be held later, says Wilders.

One candidate who has been singled out is social democratic PVDA's Ronald Plasterk. He is a microbiologist and has left politics, but around half of the ministerial positions will go to politically unaffiliated experts

Economy

The shooting of Robert Fico

Slovakia's prime minister underwent surgery for three hours after the shooting

Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico has been shot in the town of Handlova. His injuries are considered life-threatening, according to a statement from the government office.

At 8 pm on Wednesday evening, the country's Minister of Defense Robert Kalinak states that Fico has been operated on for more than three hours and the situation is described as "extremely serious".

- We hope he is strong enough to handle this, says Kalinak according to the BBC.

Interior Minister Matus Sutaj Estok adds that it is suspected that the assassination attempt was politically motivated, without adding any details.

A total of five shots were fired, several of which hit Fico. A suspected 71-year-old perpetrator was arrested in connection with the shooting.

Fico became Slovakia's prime minister after the election last fall and was then described as a pro-Russian populist. He has subsequently stopped aid to Ukraine and announced last month that he wants to shut down the public service channel RTVS.

.....................................

71-year-old is said to be behind the attempted murder of Fico: "Heard three quick shots"

It is a 71-year-old man who is suspected of having shot Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico earlier on Wednesday, Slovak media reports.

Witnesses describe how the perpetrator stood in a large crowd and shouted at Fico. When the prime minister came forward to say hello, the 71-year-old opened fire.

- We heard three shots. They came in close succession, like when someone sets off firecrackers, eyewitness Lubica Valkova told Reuters.

Slovakia's government staff stated earlier on Wednesday that Fico is life-threateningly injured and that he has been hit by several shots. The local newspaper Dennik N writes that further information about the prime minister's health is currently classified.

The 71-year-old was arrested after the shots and has been taken in for questioning. The motive behind the attack is still unknown.

..........................................

The attempted assassination of Robert Fico
Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico no longer life-threateningly injured

Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico has been shot in the town of Handlova. During the day, his injuries have been assessed as life-threatening, and at 10 p.m. Deputy Prime Minister Tomas Taraba says that Fico's injuries are no longer life-threatening.

- I think he will survive, says Taraba to the BBC.

At 8 p.m., the country's defense minister, Robert Kalinak, stated that Fico had been operated on for more than three hours. The situation was then described as "extremely serious".

Interior Minister Matus Sutaj Estok added that it is suspected that the assassination attempt was politically motivated, without adding any details.

A total of five shots were fired, several of which hit Fico. A suspected 71-year-old perpetrator was arrested in connection with the shooting.

Fico became Slovakia's prime minister after the election last fall and was then described as a pro-Russian populist. He has subsequently stopped aid to Ukraine and announced last month that he wants to shut down the public service channel RTVS.


Thailand The land of twilight

5h 

“ถ้าเราเป็นรัฐบาลนะ เรื่องแรกที่เราต้องดูคือการให้ประกันตัว เพื่อที่ทางน้อง ๆ จะได้ออกมาต่อสู้ได้อย่างเป็นธรรม และจะได้ไม่เสียการเรียนด้วย” เศรษฐา ทวีสิน กล่าวไว้ในช่วงรณรงค์หาเสียงเลือกตั้งปี 2566

แนวโน้ม ม.112-นิรโทษกรรมการเมือง หลังการตายของ บุ้ง-เนติพร - BBC News ไทย

ประชาไท Prachatai

พรรคก้าวไกลยื่นคำร้องขอขยายระยะเวลายื่นคำชี้แจงแก้ข้อกล่าวหา “คดียุบพรรค” ต่อศาลรัฐธรรมนูญเป็นครั้งสุดท้าย อีก 15 วัน โดยจะครบกำหนดยื่นคำชี้แจงวันที่ 2 มิ.ย. นี้
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อ่านเพิ่มเติมที่ : https://prachatai.com/journal/2024/05/109213

อาจเป็นรูปภาพของ 1 คน และ ข้อความพูดว่า "ป ป NEWS คก้า 15 15พ.ค.2567 พ.ค. 2567 ต่อเวลาคดียุบ 'ก้าว 'ก้าวไกล' ไกล' ศาลรัฐธรรมนูญ อนุ อนุญาต ขยายเวลายื่นคำชี้แจง" TT

ศาลอาญาทุจริตฯ ยกคำร้องของ #TrueID ให้ ‘พิรงรอง’ หยุดปฏิบัติหน้าที่ กสทช. เนื่องจากไม่พบการกระทำเป็นปฏิปักษ์กับทรูจึงไม่มีเหตุผลพอที่จะสั่งให้หยุดปฏิบัติหน้าที่ระหว่างพิจารณาคดีที่ทรูฯ ฟ้องพิรงรองในข้อหาตาม ม.157 แต่หากมีพฤติการณ์เปลี่ยนแปลงศาลอาจมีคำสั่งเป็นอย่างอื่น