tisdag 10 november 2026

War with Iran contributes to lower fossil fuel emissions

 
The price of oil has risen as a result of the war in Iran, which has dampened consumption this year. Photo: Vahid Salemi/AP/TT

Carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels are set to decrease by 0.4 percent this year, according to the annual Global Carbon Budget report. Green energy—along with the war in Iran—are identified as contributing factors.

The forecast for this year’s emissions is 38.2 billion tonnes. The decline is primarily driven by a drop in emissions from oil (-1.9 percent), as supplies have been restricted following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz during the war between the US/Israel and Iran.

“A decline in fossil CO2 emissions is encouraging, but a reduction driven in part by a geopolitical shock is not a sustainable climate solution,” says Pierre Friedlingstein, a professor at the University of Exeter who led the study.

Other factors contributing to the decline include favorable weather conditions in China, reduced coal consumption in the United States, and the expansion of clean energy.

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