The expert after the fuel alarm: “There will be flights this summer”
Isaac Turne
The expert after the fuel alarm: “There will be flights this summer”
Isaac Turner
Updated 19.53 | Published 19.24
“Europe has six weeks of jet fuel left,” warns the energy agency IEA.
But the summer vacation is not completely threatened.
– I wouldn’t have been so worried about it, says aviation expert Hans-Jørgen Elnäs.
Those were words and no rhymes from Fatih Birol, head of the international energy agency IEA.
He states that Europe has six weeks of jet fuel left – then it will run out.
This also means that flights could soon start to be canceled if the Strait of Hormuz continues to be blocked. According to him, countries in Asia will be the worst affected.
Because the longer the war goes on, the greater the economic consequences will be.
– Higher gasoline prices, higher gas prices, higher electricity prices, he tells AP.
Fatih Birol, head of the International Energy Agency IEA. Photo: Michel Euler /AP/TT
"Reduced supply"
Aviation expert Hans-Jørgen Elnäs thinks that we should listen to the IEA but does not entirely agree.
- I do not see a scenario where flights in Europe stop completely due to a fuel shortage, he says.
Several companies have already canceled some departures. Among others, SAS canceled 1,000 flights in April, which is just over five percent of their total number of departures during the month.
But these are mainly departures with too few booked seats.
Elnäs believes that something similar is a more likely scenario for the summer than flights stopping.
- I talk a lot with airlines and I have not seen any indications that it is "burning". But there could be cuts in flight programs and a reduced supply, he says.
Learn to become more expensive
Because when oil is stuck and fuel production decreases, it becomes more expensive for airlines. For example, the price of departures to Asia has increased by 500 percent, according to him.
This will also be felt by those who want to travel within Europe.
– The airlines are under pressure and charge accordingly, and if production decreases, there will be fewer airline seats. The faster the war ends, the faster the problems will be solved, says Hans-Jørgen Elnäs.
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