Countdown – could be a nightmare for Trump
Published 00.09
197 days left.
Then everything could change for Donald Trump.
And according to new information, his nightmare could become a reality.
The mid-term elections could change the balance of power in Washington – and mean terror for the president.
Right now, the Republicans have a majority in both chambers of Congress and the Democrats can mostly only watch helplessly as Trump basically does as he wants.
But the party has signaled that it is ready to make life miserable for the president if it manages to take back both the House of Representatives and the Senate.
Ready to investigate Trump
According to information in the American press, work has already begun quietly to immediately launch investigations against him in the House of Representatives in the event of a change of power in the chamber – something that is seen as a clear possibility.
But such investigations would not lead to much if the Republicans retain the majority in the Senate – which was basically seen as a given.
Now, however, the conditions seem to have changed.
For the Democrats to regain power in the Senate after the mid-term elections on November 3, everything must go the party's way. And right now, everything is going the party's way, writes The New York Times.
Could be a Democratic tsunami
In an analysis of the opinion situation in the states that have elections for the Senate in November, the newspaper states that it is not impossible for the Democrats to win the four Senate seats from the Republicans needed to change the majority.
"With Trump's declining popularity and rising inflation, along with the uncertainty about a war in the Middle East, it is not difficult to imagine a Democratic tsunami in November," writes The New York Times opinion expert Nate Cohn in his analysis.
“A ‘blue wave’ is not guaranteed, of course, and Democrats would not be confident of flipping two reliably Republican states even if it did. But a possible path for the party to win the Senate is starting to take shape,” he continues.
The crucial states
In recent polls, Democrats are leading or even with Republicans in four states controlled by the latter party. These are Maine, North Carolina, Ohio and Alaska.
According to the newspaper, there is also much to suggest that Republicans could be in danger in two states where Trump himself won the presidential election by double-digit margins: Texas and Iowa.
“In recent weeks, the betting markets have swung so that the Senate is now seen as completely uncertain, although some analysts have not gone quite that far,” writes Nate Cohn in the NYT.
The newspaper writes that Trump's national approval ratings – 40 percent who think he's doing a good job, 56 percent who think he's doing a bad job – are lower than in the 2018 midterm elections when Democrats had big gains in Congress.
They are the biggest problem
Despite Trump suffering from low approval ratings and leading an unpopular war on Iran, it's not the president himself who is said to be Republicans' biggest problem.
"If there's one single reason Democrats have a realistic chance of winning the Senate, it's that they've recruited unusually strong candidates in three states that have supported Trump three times: North Carolina, Ohio and Alaska. In all three states, the Democrats' likely candidates are popular people who have recently held state offices," writes The New York Times.
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