fredag 26 april 2024

The monsoon rains in Africa

Kenya 

The death toll rises after the monsoon rains in Africa

TT-AFP

Published 2024-04-26 18.30


Vulnerable people in Nairobi, Kenya, receive help from the Red Cross. Photo: Edaward Odero/AP/TT

The death toll continues to rise after the severe rains in East Africa. Authorities in Kenya said on Friday that more than 70 people have died since the seasonal monsoon rains began in March. 120,000 inhabitants are directly affected and have been forced to leave their homes.

In the capital Nairobi, about 30 deaths are reported this week alone

The East African land area of the Rift Valley has also reported several deaths due to the monsoon rains.

Neighboring Tanzania states that more than 150 people are dead due to floods and landslides and that 200,000 inhabitants are directly affected.

This year's rainy season in East Africa has coincided with the progress of the El Niño weather phenomenon. At the same time, the region is recovering from the worst drought in four decades.

.......................................

Close to 200 dead in East Africa's torrential rains

TT-AFP

Published 2024-04-25 14.09

En kvinna sitter på en soffa utanför sitt översvämmade hus i den informella bosättningen Mathare i Kenyas huvudstad Nairobi.
A woman sits on a sofa outside her flooded house in the Mathare informal settlement in the Kenyan capital, Nairobi. Photo: Brian Inganga/AP/TT

At least 155 people have died as a result of floods and landslides caused by heavy downpours in Tanzania. The storm has also claimed several lives in neighboring Kenya.

In Tanzania, around 200,000 people are estimated to be affected by the progress of the storm, according to Prime Minister Kassim Majaliwa. Fields, homes and other infrastructure are said to have been destroyed in the rain.

In Kenya's capital, Nairobi, tens of people have died. Several more are missing, according to local police. The floods have caused chaos in the city of millions, with roads and bridges blocked and homes in informal settlements under water.

Kenyan President William Ruto states that people in the worst affected areas will be relocated. Tens of thousands have already been evacuated.

Tanzania's neighboring country Burundi – one of the world's poorest countries – has also been badly affected by the torrential rains. Rising water levels in the great Lake Tanganyika have caused a river to overflow and caused extensive damage to infrastructure, AP reports.

This year's rainy season in East Africa has coincided with the progress of the El Niño weather phenomenon. At the same time, the region is recovering from the worst drought in four decades.

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Extensive flooding in East Africa

TT-AP

Published 2024-04-23 02.46

En by i Kenya har svämmats över efter omfattande skyfall.
A village in Kenya has been flooded after heavy rainfall. Photo: Brian Ongoro/AP/TT

National parks, ports and highways are under water after extensive flooding caused by torrential downpours in several East African countries.

Worst hit is Burundi, where the country's interior minister is now asking its development partners to "help all the people affected by these disasters" together with Burundi.

Over 200,000 people have been affected between September and the beginning of April this year. 19,250 homes and 209 classrooms have been destroyed.

Meanwhile, 35 people have died in Kenya since mid-March and more than 100,000 people have been affected by floods, according to the United Nations citing the latest figures from the Red Cross.

Kenya's meteorological authorities expect the peak of the rainfall to arrive this week.

According to climate scientists, the widespread flooding is due to the El Niño weather phenomenon.

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Is today's announcement even a bet?

 

The Defense Committee

53 billion – is it even a bet?

Niclas Vent

Reporter

This is a commenting text. Analysis and positions are the writer's.

Updated 14.47 | Published 14.34


Big, bad Putin's foul breath is getting more and more intrusive.

Then 53 billion extra per year will be spent on equipping the straw house of the Swedish defence.

But not the phase, it is enough for a house made of bricks.

We can only hope that reality does not come to huff and puff.

Is it a crisis?

If you listen to what the politicians say, the answer is yes. Actually the most serious situation since the Second World War, according to Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson (M).

A stream of politicians and experts are now counting the now counting the number of years we have to get ready for a Russian attack west on the fingers of one hand.

But words and reality tend to be different things.

British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak announced the other day an increase in defense spending to 2.5 percent of GDP by 2030. The country's industry is to be put "on a war footing."

Oh well. In that case, it must be about a very small war. Or a very small foot.

During World War II, Britain's defense spending peaked at over 50 percent of GDP.

Sweden, safely outside the conflict, was at 12–13 percent.

See there, what war feet really cost.

Försvarsberedningens ordförande Hans Wallmark (M) under en pressträff på fredagen där försvarsberedningens slutbetänkande presenteras.
The defense committee's chairman Hans Wallmark (M) during a press conference on Friday where the defense committee's final report is presented. Photo: Claudio Bresciani/TT

In 2030, Sweden's defense spending should be up to 2.6 percent of GDP - SEK 52.8 billion more than today.
 
That was suggested by the Defense Committee today.

Is it a bet?

We still don't even have the defense that politicians decided we would build four years ago.

The army's four brigades are not ready. We now have one, barely two. Robotic air defenses on the corvettes are not installed. No new corvettes have been ordered. Anti-aircraft systems for the brigades have not been purchased.

Much of the money will simply go to completing the defenses we thought we needed before major war broke out in Europe.

Before Iranian weapons started bombing maritime traffic on the Red Sea.

Before we gave away military equipment worth SEK 30 billion to Ukraine.

Before an orange man with a weird haircut threatened to storm back into the White House and knock the legs out of NATO.

Soldater uppställda då P7 Revingehed. Arkivbild.
Soldiers stationed then P7 Revingehed. Archive image. Photo: Johan Nilsson/TT

It all depends on how you look at it.

If this is a real turning point - a "pre-war period" as both Polish President Donald Tusk and Sweden's Chief of Defense Staff Michael Claesson say - then it will not be enough to meet the demands of the outside world step by step, with the eyes rather on what the treasury is capable of than what is needed.

War is disrespectful that way. It does not wait for us step by step to build the ability to face it.

However, it is easy to understand the resistance.

Defense is the place where politicians' dreams come to die.

Every penny for carbines that should ideally never have to be fired in harm's way is a penny that cannot go to climate change, healthcare, schools or reduced taxes.

No one becomes a politician to shovel billions into a bottomless pit, where the results are only noticeable when you yourself have retired.

If we are lucky, it will "only" have passed 14 years after the order before Sweden's two new submarines are delivered.

Who survives so many years in top politics?

The trade-offs are not easy. Defense is not exactly Sweden's only need. But the question cannot be whether we can afford it. The only question is where the money will be taken from.

There awaits a political conflict that has not yet been fought.
..........................................

The argument about the money for defense

In 2030, defense will cost an extra 53 billion a year.

S, V and MP demand a special tax on the rich to plug the hole in state finances - something that the governing parties reject.

- You cannot live on expenses alone, says Peter Hultqvist (S).
The defense committee, where all parties in the Riksdag are represented, today agreed on a new long-term plan for Sweden's defence.

Most things were agreed upon:

All in all, this means that 2.6 percent of Sweden's GDP goes to military defense in 2030, according to NATO's way of calculating. Today, the expenditure corresponds to 2.2 percent of GDP.

Tax for the richest

But where the money will come from is not clear.

- The amounts are so large that they risk crowding out other needs in the treasury. There is a risk that care, school and care will be affected, says Peter Hultqvist (S).

S, V and MP therefore want a special contingency tax for the richest to pay for part of the increase.

Peter Hultqvist (S).
Peter Hultqvist (S). Photo: Peter Wixtröm

The parties want it to target high income earners with large capital gains. It could bring in around SEK 15 billion, according to Peter Hultqvist.

- It is not unknown that the economic gaps in Sweden have increased quite substantially and that the higher strata have had much better economic conditions. We believe that a tax like this, where these groups can contribute to the defense, will not cause any major problems, says Peter Hultqvist.

Hanna Gunnarsson, the Left Party's defense policy spokesperson:

- I think there are many highly paid people in Sweden who want to join and pay for a stronger total defense. This is not the time for tax cuts. We need more money in the system, she says.

The criticism: "Not the right way"

The governing parties and SD are completely cold-hearted about the proposal. Nor is C behind.

- The Social Democrats have thrown the funding issue into the Defense Committee, it has never been the Defense Committee's responsibility, not even when Peter Hultqvist was Minister of Defence, says Anna Starbrink, the Liberals' defense policy spokesperson.

Anna Starbrink (L).
Anna Starbrink (L). Photo: Jessica Gow/TT

- This is a way for him to try to push through a contingency tax, which from my perspective is just a relaunch of the old defense tax that the Liberals helped abolish. That's not the right way to do it. The financing of this much money must take place in a collective approach in the state budget. There it is about priorities and using the budget space that is available.

The defense committee also wants to see an investment in civil defense - but the proposal is far from the needs described by the Norwegian Agency for Community Safety and Preparedness (MSB).

Covering the needs would cost SEK 32 billion per year until 2030, according to MSB.

The defense committee proposes an increase of an average of NOK 6.5 billion per year during the same period - which thus covers 20 percent of the identified needs.

FACTS

The Defense Committee's proposal

Three mechanized brigades and one infantry brigade essentially operational by 2030.

A new field unit, Norrland's infantry regiment, in the war organization.

Training of conscripts is increased from 8,000 to 10,000 in 2030 and 12,000 in 2032.

The navy's personnel is reinforced.

Expanded anti-aircraft capability.

Investment in air bases to be able to spread out the combat aircraft.

More ammo and spare parts, more hunting and cruising robots.

New territorial units, organized into about twenty companies and platoons.

More refresher training for war organization requirements.

Reinforcement to the voluntary defense organizations.

Expansion of officer training.

Source: TT/The Defense Committee

FACTS

That's how big the defense budget should be

2025: 135 billion (bdr)

2026: 142 months

2027: 153 bd

2028: 171 bd

2029: 175 bd

2030: 185 billion

Footnote: In current prices

Source: TT/The Defense Committee