Can Trump Lean on the Christian Right? Belike
Will Donald Trump, just like in the 2016 election, be able to use the Christian evangelical right as a secret weapon in this year's election campaign? Yes, everything points to that, writes Ronald Brownstein in an analysis for CNN. In particular, Trump has strong support among non-college-educated evangelicals, but challenger Ron DeSantis is trying to convince the electorate that Trump is not to be trusted. Among other things in matters of abortion and trans rights.
However, several surveys from last year indicate that the ex-president is still a clear favorite among low-educated revival Christians, writes Brownstein.
In an analytical text in the New York Times, Michael Bender, just like Brownstein, writes about the level of education of voters. According to him, support for Trump among more highly educated voters has increased recently. Among other things, because they believe that a vote for one of the contenders is a wasted vote.
Another reason why the electorate to a greater extent holds Trump as the favorite is that they consider the many lawsuits against him to be unfair. A vote for Trump should therefore be seen as a reaction to the political climate, rather than a newfound love for his politics.
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The candidates' final hurdle: Getting voters to brave the cold
Iowa is plagued by extreme cold when the state's Republicans will have their say today on who will be the party's presidential candidate. American media write that it has never before been so cold in connection with a nomination meeting in the state.
The mercury in the thermometers may drop down to the minus 30 mark, which is expected to bring challenges for the Republican candidates and for the party in general. The news agency AP writes that the cold means dangerous travel conditions and that there is therefore a risk that many voters will stay at home. The candidates have therefore time and again urged their supporters to really get to the premises where the nomination meetings are held, all in order not to risk an image of a disloyal electorate.
- Even if you vote and then die, it has been worth it, said Donald Trump recently.
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Donald Trump strong as Iowa begins primaries
Donald Trump has a strong tailwind as the primaries begin today with the nominating convention in Iowa. According to a CBS poll, 69 percent of Republican primary voters would vote for Trump if the presidential election were held today. This is an increase of eleven percentage points compared to May last year.
At the same time, the ex-president now receives a majority of internal Republican support, writes Politico. With Senator Marco Rubio and Representative Julia Letlow announcing that they support Trump's candidacy, he is now backed by 135 members of Congress.
The lawsuits brought against Trump do not seem to have any impact on his popularity. A majority of Iowa voters say a conviction would not affect how they vote in the presidential election. 61 percent say that a sentence "doesn't matter".
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