måndag 29 december 2025

Six people who can influence Europe in 2026

Will Europe tilt even further to the right in 2026 – or will it be a backlash against the US's Donald Trump?

Here are six people in European focus this spring.

Marine Le Pen, France

In mid-January, the appeal of a corruption conviction that has so far stopped the figurehead of the French far-right from running in elections will begin. The outcome will determine whether Le Pen can start planning for the 2027 presidential election and the new trial will also have an impact on France's municipal elections in March.

Ursula von der Leyen, Germany

Since 2019, the President of the European Commission has relied on strong support from member state leaders and a stable center majority of conservatives, liberals and social democrats in the EU Parliament. But now she is under increasing pressure from both the left and the far right, while the challenges are heavy around both Ukraine and the relationship with the US.

Alice Weidel, Germany

The leader of the German AFD has tailwinds and US support from both politicians and tech billionaire Elon Musk. In March, the AFD hopes to consolidate its growing position with solid successes in tough state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate and Baden-Württemberg

Janez Jansa, Slovenia

Among the collection of prime ministers in Central Europe who are at least critical of Brussels, both Robert Fico in Slovakia and Andrej Babis in the Czech Republic have recently returned to power. Now Jansa in Slovenia hopes to do the same in the parliamentary elections in March.

Péter Magyar, Hungary

The ruling Fidesz party has dominated Hungary since 2010, but now for the first time in a long time there is a real challenger to Prime Minister Viktor Orbán. However, the opposition leader Magyar is expected to face tough legal and political challenges ahead of the April elections.

Zack Polanski, United Kingdom

The traditional British major parties, Labour and the Tories, are struggling in the background as support instead increases for Nigel Farage's Reform Party, the Liberal Democrats and the Greens. New party leader Polanski has boosted the latter to rocket speed and is hoping for a green wave in the local elections in May.

FACTS

Important European dates in the spring

Here are some important dates in European politics in the first half of 2026:

January 1: Cyprus takes over the presidency of the EU Council of Ministers

February 12: Informal EU summit in Belgium

March 8 and 22: Federal elections in Baden-Württemberg and Rhineland-Palatinate

March 15 and 22: Municipal elections in France

March 15, 22 or 29: Parliamentary elections in Slovenia

March 19-20: EU summit in Brussels

April 12: Parliamentary elections in Hungary

April 23-24: Informal EU summit in Cyprus

May 4: EPC summit in Armenia

May 7: Local and regional elections in the United Kingdom

May 24: Parliamentary elections in Cyprus

June 14-16: G7 summit in France

June 18-19: EU summit in Brussels  

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