Lena Mellin
This is what you won't experience in 2025
A bad year ends tonight
Lena Mellin
This is a commentary text. Analysis and positions are the writer's.
Published 2024-12-31 05.41
On New Year's Eve, you should look ahead.
Preferably to what will be good.
Here is the list of what should happen. But unfortunately will not.
Seen from a historical perspective, development has always moved forward. The world is better now than it was a thousand, or 500 or even a hundred years ago. We are healthier, live longer, can do significantly more.
But now there is a real dent in the success curve. The thunderclouds are gathering. 2024 was an evil, dark year. The bright spots are unfortunately few even as we look into the year that starts now. Here is a list of what we would like to happen in 2025. But probably will not experience then.
1. The war in Ukraine will not end, despite talk of peace talks. Russia wants to incorporate all of Ukraine into its sphere of interest. Ukraine wants to return to its former borders, that is, even with the Crimean Peninsula that they lost to Russia in 2014. The positions are incompatible.
2. The crisis and killing in the Middle East will also persist. It is a constant in world politics.
Preferably to what will be good.
Here is the list of what should happen. But unfortunately will not.
Seen from a historical perspective, development has always moved forward. The world is better now than it was a thousand, or 500 or even a hundred years ago. We are healthier, live longer, can do significantly more.
But now there is a real dent in the success curve. The thunderclouds are gathering. 2024 was an evil, dark year. The bright spots are unfortunately few even as we look into the year that starts now. Here is a list of what we would like to happen in 2025. But probably will not experience then.
1. The war in Ukraine will not end, despite talk of peace talks. Russia wants to incorporate all of Ukraine into its sphere of interest. Ukraine wants to return to its former borders, that is, even with the Crimean Peninsula that they lost to Russia in 2014. The positions are incompatible.
2. The crisis and killing in the Middle East will also persist. It is a constant in world politics.
3. Electricity prices will not stop jumping up and down like drugged rabbits. The differences between the four electricity price areas will not be evened out either. Energy Minister Ebba Busch (KD) blames Germany and the previous government. But voters cannot vote them out. However, it could happen to Busch.
4. Donald Trump, the incoming US president, will never cease to amaze. He is almost completely unpredictable. Unfortunately, anything can happen.
5. As if Trump were not enough, neither Xi Jinping in China nor Vladimir Putin in Russia will leave their posts. The world will thus be run by three men over 70 whose sanity can be questioned. Until January 20, when Trump is sworn in, there will be only two of them.
6. The Liberals will also not be able to agree next year on whether or not they want to cooperate with the Sweden Democrats. The issue has divided the party for the past six years.
7. Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson (M) will never stop sounding as if he wants to follow in his wife's footsteps, that is, become a priest. He gave his Christmas speech with his hands clasped in front of the fire at Harpsund. You could call it a moral sermon, at least at times.
8. Magdalena Andersson (S) will not let the humor she sometimes shows she has out more often. She will not abandon her navy blue suits either. Even though they make her look like she is employed by an airline.
9. The stock of herring in the Swedish part of the Baltic Sea will not increase in 2025 either. However, the new, large variety called predatory herring will. They do not live on plankton like the smaller, tasty variety, but on barbel.
10. Without the help of the weather phenomenon La Niña, global climate efforts, if you can call them that, will not lead to global warming being below 1.5 degrees next year either. 2024 was the warmest year to date with an average temperature above 1.5 degrees compared to pre-industrial times, according to the EU's weather service Copernicus.
11. Climate Minister Romina Pourmokhtari (L) should stop her embarrassing number-crunching about Swedish greenhouse gas emissions. But there is virtually no indication that this will happen.
12. The krona will not increase in value to any greater extent next year either. The travel industry has noted a change in mass tourism. We are now looking to low-cost countries even more than before.
13. Temu and other Chinese e-commerce giants will not lose sales to Sweden despite the idiotic shopping from the other side of the globe from a climate perspective. Their very low prices are too tempting.
14. The trains will not run on time next year either. My last train journey was delayed by the following: Single-track operation where it apparently does not usually do so, a speed limit of 80 kilometers per hour on a section of the route and something that was described as a computer error that required a restart. Result: 28 minutes delay of just over ten kilometers. Connecting trains had left.
15. Finance Minister Elisabeth Svantesson (M) will not say that the recession will end sooner than she thought. However, she may reiterate that it will take longer than she and her colleagues previously predicted.
4. Donald Trump, the incoming US president, will never cease to amaze. He is almost completely unpredictable. Unfortunately, anything can happen.
5. As if Trump were not enough, neither Xi Jinping in China nor Vladimir Putin in Russia will leave their posts. The world will thus be run by three men over 70 whose sanity can be questioned. Until January 20, when Trump is sworn in, there will be only two of them.
6. The Liberals will also not be able to agree next year on whether or not they want to cooperate with the Sweden Democrats. The issue has divided the party for the past six years.
7. Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson (M) will never stop sounding as if he wants to follow in his wife's footsteps, that is, become a priest. He gave his Christmas speech with his hands clasped in front of the fire at Harpsund. You could call it a moral sermon, at least at times.
8. Magdalena Andersson (S) will not let the humor she sometimes shows she has out more often. She will not abandon her navy blue suits either. Even though they make her look like she is employed by an airline.
9. The stock of herring in the Swedish part of the Baltic Sea will not increase in 2025 either. However, the new, large variety called predatory herring will. They do not live on plankton like the smaller, tasty variety, but on barbel.
10. Without the help of the weather phenomenon La Niña, global climate efforts, if you can call them that, will not lead to global warming being below 1.5 degrees next year either. 2024 was the warmest year to date with an average temperature above 1.5 degrees compared to pre-industrial times, according to the EU's weather service Copernicus.
11. Climate Minister Romina Pourmokhtari (L) should stop her embarrassing number-crunching about Swedish greenhouse gas emissions. But there is virtually no indication that this will happen.
12. The krona will not increase in value to any greater extent next year either. The travel industry has noted a change in mass tourism. We are now looking to low-cost countries even more than before.
13. Temu and other Chinese e-commerce giants will not lose sales to Sweden despite the idiotic shopping from the other side of the globe from a climate perspective. Their very low prices are too tempting.
14. The trains will not run on time next year either. My last train journey was delayed by the following: Single-track operation where it apparently does not usually do so, a speed limit of 80 kilometers per hour on a section of the route and something that was described as a computer error that required a restart. Result: 28 minutes delay of just over ten kilometers. Connecting trains had left.
15. Finance Minister Elisabeth Svantesson (M) will not say that the recession will end sooner than she thought. However, she may reiterate that it will take longer than she and her colleagues previously predicted.
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