torsdag 24 oktober 2024

The climate threat The global challenges

Analysis: A wake-up call – but it's not over yet

The UN environmental program Unep's recent report shows that the world is currently moving towards 3.1 degrees of warming by the year 2100, something that would have "catastrophic" consequences. The BBC's climate correspondent Matt McGrath emphasizes that it is not completely over, at least not yet.

Even if the world's countries meet the targets set so far, the 1.5-degree target will be exceeded by a landslide. But the report comes just a few weeks before this year's climate summit COP29 gets underway.

"So this report must be seen as part of the push for higher ambitions from world leaders," writes McGrath.

SVT's climate reporter Carl Elfström also believes that the report should be seen as a wake-up call. But he does not believe that any new ambitious goals will be set at COP29.

- The meeting in Baku should be about money, not about new climate goals. Such should not be set before next year's meeting, he says.
 
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UN climate alarm: We are heading for three degrees of warming

The world is heading for 3.1 degrees of warming before the end of the century. This is what the UN environmental program Unep warns in a new report according to Reuters.

- We are balancing on the edge of the abyss, says UN Secretary-General António Guterres in a speech.

The goal of limiting warming to 1.5 degrees thus appears, according to the report, to fail. Even if all already decided climate measures are carried out, the target will be missed, and the temperature rise will then appear to land at between 2.6 and 2.8 degrees.

If the long-term commitment to net zero emissions is reached, warming could be limited to 1.9 degrees, but this is seen as a very unlikely scenario.

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Glimpse of light in the report: Emissions cap may have been reached

The news is grim: The world is headed for 3.1 degrees of warming this century at the current rate of emissions, states the UN environmental agency Unep in a recent report.

At the same time, it may be the last time emissions are increased, TT reports. If the EU's emission reductions continue, and if the development of fossil-free energy sources in China and India exceeds demand, 2024 could be the start of a decline.

- But you need to see a peak and then a continued decline for several years before you can say: okay, that was a peak, says Anne Olhoff, head of research for the report.

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