söndag 30 juni 2024

The new election in France

Election could leave France in 'chaos and confusion'

The complex electoral system that applies to the parliamentary elections in France can make it difficult to estimate the election results in advance. And the final result is only expected on July 7 after the second round of the election, writes Reuters.

If the National Assembly gets an absolute majority, the party's Jordan Bardella will become prime minister, with Emmanuel Macron as president. Such a scenario would mean a "cohabitation" ("samboende" in Swedish) in French politics, where the country's president and the majority of the national assembly belong to different political orientations, explains AFP.

According to the latest polls, National Gathering is expected to get the most seats in the National Assembly, but it is still unclear whether the party can secure an absolute majority.

France faces a year of political chaos and confusion if it has a deadlocked National Assembly, according to Mujtaba Rahman, head of Europe at Eurasia Group, a risk consultancy.

- There is no precedent in more modern French politics for such a stalemate, he says.
 
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French go to the polls: "Serious for society"

The parliamentary elections in France may give power to the far-right for the first time since the Second World War, writes AFP. About 49 million French people are eligible to vote and for some voters the election is important for the future of society.

- It is not an easy choice, the results are very uncertain and the consequences can be serious for society, says Julien Martin, a 38-year-old architect, to AFP

For Cassandre Cazaux, a nurse, this choice is "decisive".

- [...] But I don't know if everyone will play along and go out to vote, she adds.
 
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New French election begins: "Like a Netflix series"

The time has come for the first round of the new French election. The right-wing National Assembly looks set to go strong while President Emmanuel Macron's centrist alliance fights for its survival.

Macron's strategy of trying to make his own alliance appear as the only rational alternative has not worked, writes The Guardian. And many of his allies are critical of the decision to dissolve parliament. Among other things, the former president and Macron's former mentor François Hollande has declared that "the Macron era is over" and stood in the election for the left-wing alliance New People's Front.

- Macron is becoming more and more unpredictable. It's like he runs the country as if he were in a Netflix series and has to put a cliffhanger at the end of every episode, says Antoine Bristielle, head of opinion at the think tank Fondation Jean-Jaurès.
 
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Record high turnout at half-time in the fateful election


Turnout in the new French election could be the highest in 40 years, Libération reports. At 12 o'clock, 25.9 percent of those entitled to vote had submitted their ballots, according to figures from the Ministry of the Interior.

That is almost 7.5 percentage points more than the last election in 2022. The last time more people had voted at the same time was in 1981.

Almost one in ten French people have changed their holiday plans in order to vote, according to a poll cited in Libération. Among young people between the ages of 18 and 24 and left-wing sympathizers, the percentage is even higher.
 
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Rich on the French Riviera vote for National Assembly

The far-right National Collection has broadened its voter base and is now also attracting the super-rich in Saint-Tropez in the new French election, writes Dagens Nyheter. In the last European elections, the National Assembly made a record election on the Riviera – 41 percent of the votes in Saint-Tropez went to the party, compared to 31 percent in the whole of France.

According to the broker Marc Florin, who specializes in exclusive properties in the hundred million class, the support for the party is pervasive.

- Everyone here votes for the National Assembly. Also my customers, he tells DN

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